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More Fortune

By 800-CEO-READ, published July 29, 2004, at 5:12 PM in News & Opinion

There are a couple other things in the July 24th issue of Fortune. A Term At The Fed by Laurence Meyer is reviewed by Nomi Prins. There is a new book out called "Golf Through the Ages" that claims France is the birthplace of golf, not Scotland.

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More about Business Cycles

By 800-CEO-READ, published July 29, 2004, at 2:36 PM in News & Opinion

Our recent guest Lakshman Achuthan and his partner Anirvan Banerji are featured in the July 26th issue of Fortune. The article talks about: Their work at the Economic Cycle Research Institute (their clients range from DuPont to the CIA) Their book Beating the Business Cycle (the 20,000 copy first printing sold out) And their current forecast ("The weekly leading index points to a slowdown in the U. S.

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Fractal Finance

By 800-CEO-READ, published July 28, 2004, at 1:10 PM in News & Opinion

Yesterday, The Wall Street Journal ran an excerpt [sub. needed] from The (Mis)Behavior of Markets: A Fractal View of Risk, Ruin, and Reward by Benoit Mandelbrot and Richard Hudson (Basic Books). Here is an excerpt from the excerpt: To [Richard Olsen], a financial transaction is like a small explosion.

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Beating the Business Cycle - Thanks!

By 800-CEO-READ, published July 16, 2004, at 5:10 PM in News & Opinion

I have to run. I will be back after the interview (CNBC 2PM EST) and we talk about the business cycles if you like. Leave a comment and I will be happy to respond.

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Beating the Business Cycle - An Excerpt

By 800-CEO-READ, published July 16, 2004, at 5:06 PM in News & Opinion

If you want to read an excerpt from the book you can do so from our website here. If you purchase Beating the Business Cycle you also receive a three-month subscription to our weekly Recession-Recovery Watch report.

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Beating The Business Cycle - What it means to you

By 800-CEO-READ, published July 16, 2004, at 4:47 PM in News & Opinion

The main message that Im trying to give is that recessions are not simply the result of unforeseeable shocks, but rather part and parcel of free-market economies. Most people do believe that recessions are not forecastable, and therefore they dont even try. I think this is a big mistake.

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Beating the Business Cycle - Our Record

By 800-CEO-READ, published July 16, 2004, at 4:23 PM in News & Opinion

Our record of forecasting cyclical turns is pretty good. But I must say its not because we are particularly smart. Rather, its because we have quite a bit of faith in the fundamental theory behind our leading indexes, and therefore we dont try to second guess them.

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Beating the Business Cycle - Our Method

By 800-CEO-READ, published July 16, 2004, at 4:07 PM in News & Opinion

The Challenge Economic forecasting deserves its bad reputation in predicting recessions and recoveries. As a recent 63-country IMF study concluded, "The record of failure to predict recessions is virtually unblemished. " The reason for this failure is simple.

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Beating the Business Cycle - The Book

By 800-CEO-READ, published July 16, 2004, at 3:53 PM in News & Opinion

Todd - thanks for the plug for my CNBC interview. Todd thought you would be interested in hearing about the process of writing the book. I didnt just wake up one day and say I want to write a book.

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Our Guest Host is busy today

By 800-CEO-READ, published July 16, 2004, at 3:21 PM in News & Opinion

Our guest host Lakshman Achuthan is very busy today. Not only is he here with us, but he will also be on CNBC this afternoon at 2:00PM EST. If you have the opportunity, you check it out.

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Beating the Business Cycle - The History

By 800-CEO-READ, published July 16, 2004, at 3:11 PM in News & Opinion

Our research group represents the third generation of business cycles researchers. My mentor was Geoffrey H. Moore whom the Wall Street Journal called the father of leading indicators.

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Beating the Business Cycle - Good Morning

By 800-CEO-READ, published July 16, 2004, at 2:11 PM in News & Opinion

Hi everyone. I want to thank Jack and Todd letting me talk with you about my new book Beating the Business Cycle. Im new to blogging, but Ive spent a lot of time working at the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) researching the causes/prediction of economic cycles, and working with people to use cycle forecasts in their decision-making process.